Tough times are changing the relationship consumers have with the foods they buy for themselves and their families.
February 12, 2009
People are eager to tell us the ways they're saving money these days. Whether they're well-off or not, everyone has a story about spending less. Some people are substituting private labels for brands. Others are simply buying less. Then there are those who are behaving differently and buying accordingly. According to a recent report from the Chicago Tribune, home cooking and familiar, "good old basic food" brands are gaining in popularity during the recession.
Here are my top ten new food-related habits of formerly upper-middle class people:
Which brands stand to benefit most from these new habits? According to the Chicago Tribune'sRecession Survival Guide, "Walmart, Gold Medal Flour ... Kraft's Velveeta cheese or Hormel's canned chili. Hormel's chili and its Dinty Moore brand stews posted double-digit sales growth during its most recent quarter. Ditto for Kraft's Velveeta, despite a run-up in cheese prices."
As consumers have gotten choosier about what we put in our shopping carts (and our mouths), upscale grocer Whole Foods has taken a beating. The stock is down nearly 80 percent from its year-ago level, while Kroger and Safeway are down less than 20 percent and 40 percent, respectively. To be fair, this difference is not entirely due to Whole Foods' higher prices. Asthe WSJ reported recently, the company's acquisition of Wild Oats is compounding its problems. "Instead of concentrating on our business," Whole Foods Chairman John Mackey laments, "we are forced to focus on dealing with regulators in Washington at a time when (our) business is declining."
My pick for the unexpected beneficiary of these trends: Weight Watchers. Why? Competitors like Jenny Craig and NutriSystem sell premade food to participants as part of the program. In contrast, many of the new habits are fully in sync with the Weight Watchers program — more from scratch, eating less meat and fewer processed foods, and making and eating less overall are all fundamental aspects of the Weight Watchers plan. So, with the program simpatico with the times than ever, people should be seeing more success on the scale. And that means more good buzz, which should drive up membership.
The silver lining to the recession? Maybe we'll actually get healthier while we're learning how to live on less.
Judy Hopelain is a consultant with Brand Amplitude and a blogger on the topic of retail experiences.